A shrinking DAR isn’t automatically good news.

Here’s how to catch at-risk claims early and bring DAR down without hiding the problem.

There’s a specific moment in every unpaid claim’s life when it stops being “in process” and starts being “at risk.” Data shows that once a claim crosses 90 days outstanding, the probability of ever collecting it drops below 10%. Most practices don’t notice that moment until it has already passed, because nothing about the claim’s status changes visibly — it just sits, aging, until it’s effectively gone.

Days in A/R — total receivables divided by average daily charges — is the clearest early-warning signal available for catching this before it happens. High performers hold it under 32–35 days; anything consistently above 45 points to breakdowns somewhere upstream, whether in eligibility verification, modifier logic, or follow-up cadence. Groups that build automated follow-up triggers at day 14, 30, and 45 have cut DAR by 12–18 days on average — for a group collecting $2M monthly, that translates to roughly $1 million in freed-up working capital, money that was always owed but wasn’t moving.

But there’s a trap worth naming here too: DAR can be pushed down artificially just by writing off aging claims faster, which improves the number on paper while costing real money in abandoned revenue. A shrinking DAR isn’t automatically good news.

Final takeaway

So before celebrating a lower DAR figure next quarter, it’s worth asking a sharper question: did we actually collect that money, or did we just stop counting the claims that were taking too long?